3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,522 sqft ·
Built 1950
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 42 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,411/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$676
Tax + insurance
−$407
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$296
Net cashflow
$32/mo
Annual
$379/yr
Cap rate
6.59%
Cash-on-cash
1.05%
DSCR
1.05
1% rule
1.09%
Cash to close
$36,120
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $129k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $32 ($379/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $129k).
It's been on market 42 days — a 3% lower offer ($125k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $125k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $892 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 70/100 on livability (#323 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A-; Watch: schools D-, amenities F, commute F.
Meridian Public Schools (rural): math 30% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #225 of 540 in MI (top 42%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: property tax is 3.3% of price; built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 23 active listings in the ZIP; 320 units permitted in Midland County in 2024 (204 in 5+ unit buildings).
Midland County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $55k; list at $129k implies a 135% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Cap rate 6.6% vs local median 3.4% in Beaverton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 42 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: kitchen appliances
— outdated and non-functional
Major: kitchen countertops
— dated and in poor condition
Minor: bathroom fixtures
— standard fixtures, no visible damage
CashFlowRE · CFR-6BEWY3038KQ33M
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29