3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,520 sqft ·
Built 2008
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 86 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,485/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,337
Tax + insurance
−$242
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$522
Net cashflow
$384/mo
Annual
$4,610/yr
Cap rate
8.10%
Cash-on-cash
6.46%
DSCR
1.29
1% rule
0.97%
Cash to close
$71,372
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $255k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $384 ($5k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $249k (2.5% below list).
It's been on market 86 days — a 6% lower offer ($240k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $240k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 68/100 on livability (#155 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety D-.
Dawson County (rural): math 40% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #30 of 174 in GA (top 17%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Kilough Elementary School (math 47% / reading 42%, grade F, #336 of 1,228 statewide, top 29%, 432 students, 45% FRL); Dawson County Junior High (math 28% / reading 40%, grade F, #93 of 424 statewide, top 23%, 645 students, 39% FRL); Dawson County High School (math 5% / reading 33%, grade F, #250 of 424 statewide, top 60%, 773 students, 32% FRL) — zoned schools at 39% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.0%/yr); 581 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 887 units permitted in Dawson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Dawson County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $205k; 24% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 8.1% vs local median 3.0% in Dawsonville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($95k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 86 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-6BZ5Q00HMX63H9
· Data 23 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29