2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,250 sqft ·
Built 1977
· Condo
· Pending
· 44 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,910/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$734
Tax + insurance
−$233
HOA
−$611
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$401
Net cashflow
$-70/mo
Annual
$-838/yr
Cap rate
5.69%
Cash-on-cash
-2.14%
DSCR
0.90
1% rule
1.36%
Cash to close
$39,200
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $140k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-70 ($-838/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $130k (7.2% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $140k).
It's been on market 44 days — a 3% lower offer ($136k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $130k (7.2% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $968 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 77/100 on livability (#127 in MI, #3,163 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety D, amenities F, commute F.
Rochester Community School District (suburban): math 60% / reading 69% proficiency, ranked #21 of 540 in MI (top 4%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 10% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Watch-outs: HOA is 32% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.8%/yr); 216 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 6d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,614 units permitted in Oakland County in 2024 (721 in 5+ unit buildings).
Oakland County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
4 sale attempts since 17y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Cap rate 5.7% vs local median 2.8% in Rochester Hills — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 44 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 7% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-6BZMGMEDPX11HA
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29