64 bd · 64.0 ba ·
3,750 sqft ·
Built —
· MultiFamily
· Pending
· 317 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$16,452/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$12,586
Tax + insurance
−$4,000
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$3,455
Net cashflow
$-3,589/mo
Annual
$-43,065/yr
Cap rate
4.50%
Cash-on-cash
-6.41%
DSCR
0.71
1% rule
0.69%
Cash to close
$672,000
Investor read
This is a 8 × 1-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $2.40M.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-4k ($-43k/yr) — negative. Per door: $-449/mo.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $1.88M (21.6% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $1.65M (31.4% below list).
It's been on market 317 days — a 12% lower offer ($2.11M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $1.65M (31.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $17k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $72k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#123 in CA, #4,206 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: health & safety C-, crime D+, cost of living F.
San Diego Unified (urban): math 19% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #393 of 517 in CA (top 76%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.9%/yr); 119 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 11,759 units permitted in San Diego County in 2024 (7,244 in 5+ unit buildings).
San Diego County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Cap rate 4.5% vs local median 2.0% in San Diego — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $16,452/mo this rent would consume 201% of the median local household income ($98k/yr) (locally 2385% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 317 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 31% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
CashFlowRE · CFR-6C7DBW6BXJFHPQ
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29