3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
2,460 sqft ·
Built 1995
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 19 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,412/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$624
Tax + insurance
−$198
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$297
Net cashflow
$294/mo
Annual
$3,530/yr
Cap rate
9.26%
Cash-on-cash
10.60%
DSCR
1.47
1% rule
1.19%
Cash to close
$33,292
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $119k. Condition is rated poor.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $294 ($4k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $119k).
It's been on market 19 days — a 2% lower offer ($117k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $117k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $822 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 76/100 on livability (#41 in NC, #3,656 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities D+, employment D, schools F.
Pitt County Schools (rural): math 41% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #100 of 178 in NC (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: 156 active listings in the ZIP; 1,300 units permitted in Pitt County in 2024 (204 in 5+ unit buildings).
Pitt County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 9.3% vs local median 2.8% in Ayden — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: kitchen cabinets
— old and in poor condition
Major: bathroom fixtures
— old and in poor condition
Major: exterior siding
— weathered and in poor condition
Major: kitchen flooring
— worn and in poor condition
Major: interior walls
— wallpaper peeling and in poor condition
Major: windows
— old and may need replacement
CashFlowRE · CFR-6CD5CJ5HWN7N32
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29