1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
538 sqft ·
Built 1981
· Condo
· Active
· 38 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$879/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$338
Tax + insurance
−$94
HOA
−$290
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$184
Net cashflow
$-29/mo
Annual
$-344/yr
Cap rate
5.76%
Cash-on-cash
-1.91%
DSCR
0.92
1% rule
1.36%
Cash to close
$18,060
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $64k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-29 ($-344/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $59k (7.9% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($879 rent vs $64k).
It's been on market 38 days — a 3% lower offer ($63k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $59k (7.9% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $446 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 63/100 on livability (#333 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, health & safety D+, schools D-.
Jefferson County (urban): math 19% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #121 of 165 in KY (top 73%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Watch-outs: HOA is 33% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.9%/yr); 247 active listings in the ZIP; 19 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,836 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (1,558 in 5+ unit buildings).
Jefferson County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
3 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 38 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 8% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
CashFlowRE · CFR-6CD6SK31T7A3D7
· Data 2 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29