5 bd · 2.5 ba ·
2,280 sqft ·
Built 1900
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 417 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,802/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$808
Tax + insurance
−$257
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$378
Net cashflow
$359/mo
Annual
$4,310/yr
Cap rate
9.09%
Cash-on-cash
9.99%
DSCR
1.44
1% rule
1.17%
Cash to close
$43,120
Investor read
This is a 5-bed/2.5-bath multifamily listed at $154k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $359 ($4k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $154k).
It's been on market 417 days — a 12% lower offer ($136k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $136k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $2k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $1k appreciation (0.8% local appreciation)).
Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Zoned schools: Thetford Elementary School (math 32% / reading 42%, grade F, #113 of 192 statewide, top 62%, 208 students, 14% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 3 active listings in the ZIP; 74 units permitted in Orange County in 2024 (28 in 5+ unit buildings).
Orange County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $21k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (0.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $43k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 417 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: siding
— Significant damage and wear on the exterior siding.