3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,400 sqft ·
Built 1985
· Condo
· Active
· 15 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,637/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,830
Tax + insurance
−$552
HOA
−$598
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$764
Net cashflow
$-107/mo
Annual
$-1,282/yr
Cap rate
5.93%
Cash-on-cash
-1.31%
DSCR
0.94
1% rule
1.04%
Cash to close
$97,720
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $349k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-107 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $330k (5.4% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $349k).
It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($344k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $330k (5.4% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 69/100 on livability (#464 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
Palm Beach (suburban): math 46% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #34 of 73 in FL (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Timber Trace Elementary School (math 76% / reading 79%, grade A, #163 of 2,144 statewide, top 8%, 825 students, 34% FRL); Watson B. Duncan Middle School (math 54% / reading 59%, grade B, #171 of 571 statewide, top 30%, 1,157 students, 41% FRL); William T. Dwyer High School (math 36% / reading 58%, grade D-, #207 of 667 statewide, top 32%, 2,206 students, 37% FRL).
Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.0%/yr); 532 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 3,974 units permitted in Palm Beach County in 2024 (1,012 in 5+ unit buildings).
Palm Beach County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
3 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $82k; list at $349k implies a 326% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($125k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-6EPX37EXDRP0YH
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29