9 bd · 3.9 ba ·
3,552 sqft ·
Built 1982
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 159 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,617/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,675
Tax + insurance
−$532
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$760
Net cashflow
$649/mo
Annual
$7,793/yr
Cap rate
8.73%
Cash-on-cash
8.71%
DSCR
1.39
1% rule
1.13%
Cash to close
$89,460
Investor read
This is a 3 × 3-bed/1.3-bath units multifamily listed at $320k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $649 ($8k/yr) — positive. Per door: $216/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $320k).
It's been on market 159 days — a 12% lower offer ($281k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $281k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#151 in TX, #4,199 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools C-, amenities F, commute F.
Andrews ISD (town): math 41% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #311 of 826 in TX (top 38%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: 208 active listings in the ZIP; 72 units permitted in Andrews County in 2024 (48 in 5+ unit buildings).
Andrews County population projected at +90% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
At $3,617/mo this rent would consume 60% of the median local household income ($72k/yr) (locally 277% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 159 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: Exterior siding
— Significant wear and tear
Major: Exterior wood
— Exposed and damaged
Major: Ground leveling
— Uneven and needs repair
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· Data 8 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29