4 bd · 3.0 ba ·
2,138 sqft ·
Built 1984
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 249 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,654/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,701
Tax + insurance
−$964
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$767
Net cashflow
$-779/mo
Annual
$-9,343/yr
Cap rate
4.48%
Cash-on-cash
-6.48%
DSCR
0.71
1% rule
0.71%
Cash to close
$144,200
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $515k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-779 ($-9k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $377k (26.7% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $365k (29.1% below list).
It's been on market 249 days — a 12% lower offer ($453k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $365k (29.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $55k of equity ($4k loan paydown + $52k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 67/100 on livability (#550 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
Palm Beach (suburban): math 46% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #34 of 73 in FL (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: Rents flat; 574 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 3,974 units permitted in Palm Beach County in 2024 (1,012 in 5+ unit buildings).
Palm Beach County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
12 sale attempts since 27y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $55k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$89k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
At $3,654/mo this rent would consume 47% of the median local household income ($93k/yr) (locally 1870% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 249 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 29% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
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· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29