4 bd · 3.0 ba ·
970 sqft ·
Built 1920
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 7 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,152/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$865
Tax + insurance
−$195
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$242
Net cashflow
$-150/mo
Annual
$-1,798/yr
Cap rate
5.20%
Cash-on-cash
-3.89%
DSCR
0.83
1% rule
0.70%
Cash to close
$46,172
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $165k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-150 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $138k (16.0% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $115k (30.2% below list).
Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $115k (30.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 68/100 on livability (#406 in MN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety D, amenities F, commute F.
Nashwauk-Keewatin School District (rural): math 32% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #253 of 301 in MN (top 84%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 28 active listings in the ZIP; 121 units permitted in Itasca County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Itasca County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Current owner paid $65k; list at $165k implies a 154% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-6G8F1V45Y4JRBM
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29