None bd · None ba ·
2,968 sqft ·
Built 1925
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 15 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$4,649/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,255
Tax + insurance
−$717
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$976
Net cashflow
$701/mo
Annual
$8,413/yr
Cap rate
8.25%
Cash-on-cash
6.99%
DSCR
1.31
1% rule
1.08%
Cash to close
$120,400
Investor read
This is a multifamily listed at $430k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $701 ($8k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $430k).
It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($424k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $424k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $13k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 81/100 on livability (#23 in TX, #1,375 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+.
El Paso ISD (urban): math 27% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #591 of 826 in TX (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 65% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Lamar El (math 24% / reading 34%, grade F, #2,525 of 4,322 statewide, top 62%, 271 students, 96% FRL); Wiggs Middle (math 47% / reading 46%, grade D+, #443 of 1,662 statewide, top 28%, 861 students, 72% FRL) — zoned schools average 84% FRL vs 65% district-wide (19 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.2%/yr); 118 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 2,196 units permitted in El Paso County in 2024 (143 in 5+ unit buildings).
El Paso County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.2% rent growth), your $120k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
At $4,649/mo this rent would consume 110% of the median local household income ($51k/yr) (locally 1380% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: Kitchen appliances
— Outdated and worn, need replacement.
Major: Bathroom fixtures
— Outdated and small, need replacement.
Major: Flooring
— Worn and outdated, need replacement.
Moderate: Exterior siding
— Weathered and discoloration, need repainting.
Major: Landscaping
— Sparse and in need of maintenance.
CashFlowRE · CFR-6GC3872VH57NQQ
· Data 3 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29