3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,264 sqft ·
Built 2025
· Manufactured
· Pending
· 50 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,670/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$813
Tax + insurance
−$258
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$351
Net cashflow
$248/mo
Annual
$2,973/yr
Cap rate
8.21%
Cash-on-cash
6.85%
DSCR
1.30
1% rule
1.08%
Cash to close
$43,400
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $155k. Condition is rated poor.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $248 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $155k).
It's been on market 50 days — a 3% lower offer ($150k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $150k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $17k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $16k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 67/100 on livability (#95 in WV) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: health & safety C-, employment D, schools F.
Mason County Schools (town): math 20% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #44 of 55 in WV (top 80%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Market conditions: 58 active listings in the ZIP; 3 units permitted in Mason County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Mason County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $43k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$42k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 8.2% vs local median 6.1% in Point Pleasant — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($50k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 50 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: roof
— No visible roof in photos
Major: exterior siding
— No visible siding in photos
Major: interior walls/paint
— No visible interior in photos
Major: flooring
— No visible flooring in photos
Major: kitchen appliances
— No kitchen photos
Major: bathroom fixtures
— No bathroom photos
CashFlowRE · CFR-6GDVA50TMB8PMY
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29