12 bd · 7.5 ba ·
3,864 sqft ·
Built 2023
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 66 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$6,629/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$3,556
Tax + insurance
−$2,022
HOA
−$63
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,392
Net cashflow
$-404/mo
Annual
$-4,844/yr
Cap rate
5.58%
Cash-on-cash
-2.55%
DSCR
0.89
1% rule
0.98%
Cash to close
$189,840
Investor read
This is a 3 × 4.0-bed/2.5-bath units multifamily listed at $678k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-404 ($-5k/yr) — negative. Per door: $-135/mo.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $607k (10.5% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $663k (2.2% below list).
It's been on market 66 days — a 6% lower offer ($637k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $607k (10.5% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
In year one you build about $54k of equity ($5k loan paydown + $50k appreciation (7.3% local appreciation)).
Location reads 70/100 on livability (#356 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools D+, amenities F, commute F.
Midlothian ISD (suburban): math 53% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #94 of 826 in TX (top 11%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Watch-outs: property tax is 3.1% of price.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.4%/yr); 426 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 3,016 units permitted in Ellis County in 2024 (20 in 5+ unit buildings).
Ellis County population projected at +36% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$87k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 5.6% vs local median 3.0% in Venus — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $6,629/mo this rent would consume 78% of the median local household income ($102k/yr) (locally 70% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 66 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 11% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
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· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29