4 bd · 3.0 ba ·
2,300 sqft ·
Built 2010
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 126 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,401/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$681
Tax + insurance
−$164
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$294
Net cashflow
$262/mo
Annual
$3,145/yr
Cap rate
8.71%
Cash-on-cash
8.65%
DSCR
1.38
1% rule
1.08%
Cash to close
$36,372
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $130k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $262 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $130k).
It's been on market 126 days — a 12% lower offer ($114k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $114k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $4k of equity ($898 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (2.8% local appreciation)).
Location reads 52/100 on livability (#400 in LA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+; Watch: schools C-, crime F, amenities F.
Iberville Parish (rural): math 23% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #45 of 98 in LA (top 46%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 76% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Market conditions: 7 active listings in the ZIP; 117 units permitted in Iberville Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Iberville County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $35k (21%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $62k; list at $130k implies a 111% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (2.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 126 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-6GGW3F0CCSVF8F
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29