3 bd · 3.0 ba ·
1,900 sqft ·
Built 1966
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 15 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,704/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,049
Tax + insurance
−$420
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$358
Net cashflow
$-123/mo
Annual
$-1,482/yr
Cap rate
5.89%
Cash-on-cash
-1.46%
DSCR
0.94
1% rule
0.85%
Cash to close
$56,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $200k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-123 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $178k (10.9% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $170k (14.8% below list).
It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($197k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $170k (14.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $9k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $7k appreciation (3.6% local appreciation)).
Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Hawlemont (rural): math 20% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #364 of 371 in MA (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo.
Market conditions: 18 active listings in the ZIP; 89 units permitted in Franklin County in 2024 (22 in 5+ unit buildings).
Franklin County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Current owner paid $101k; list at $200k implies a 98% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$37k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1966 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-6GR9Z826HS2RKD
· Data 15 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29