1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,392 sqft ·
Built 1968
· Townhouse
· Active
· 143 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,439/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$328
Tax + insurance
−$104
HOA
−$340
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$302
Net cashflow
$365/mo
Annual
$4,375/yr
Cap rate
13.29%
Cash-on-cash
25.00%
DSCR
2.11
1% rule
2.30%
Cash to close
$17,500
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $62k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $365 ($4k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $62k).
It's been on market 143 days — a 12% lower offer ($55k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $55k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $2k of equity ($432 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 74/100 on livability (#171 in MI, #4,491 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities D, employment D, crime D-.
Warren Woods Public Schools (urban): math 23% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #336 of 540 in MI (top 62%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Pinewood Elementary School (math 22% / reading 32%, grade F, #923 of 1,397 statewide, top 69%, 396 students, 68% FRL); Warren Woods Middle School (math 22% / reading 41%, grade F, #323 of 493 statewide, top 66%, 707 students, 67% FRL); Warren Woods Tower High School (math 26% / reading 50%, grade F, #331 of 713 statewide, top 46%, 1,047 students, 59% FRL) — zoned schools average 65% FRL vs 43% district-wide (22 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: HOA is 24% of rent.
Market conditions: 1 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 55d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,321 units permitted in Macomb County in 2024 (86 in 5+ unit buildings).
Macomb County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
39 sale attempts since 20y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $8k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $44k; 42% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 13.3% vs local median 4.9% in Warren — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 143 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1968 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Minor: exterior siding
— Weathered brick siding
Minor: interior paint
— Slight wear on paint
Minor: flooring
— Carpeted floors show some wear
CashFlowRE · CFR-6H7P496EDTD6EF
· Data 4 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29