4 bd · 3.0 ba ·
2,084 sqft ·
Built 1935
· MultiFamily
· Under Contract
· 16 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$5,358/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$3,094
Tax + insurance
−$983
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,125
Net cashflow
$155/mo
Annual
$1,866/yr
Cap rate
6.61%
Cash-on-cash
1.13%
DSCR
1.05
1% rule
0.91%
Cash to close
$165,200
Investor read
This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.5-bath units multifamily listed at $590k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $155 ($2k/yr) — positive. Per door: $78/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $536k (9.2% below list).
It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($581k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $536k (9.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $22k of equity ($4k loan paydown + $18k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Woodbridge Township School District (suburban): math 28% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #234 of 472 in NJ (top 50%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: built in 1935 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 1 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,971 units permitted in Middlesex County in 2024 (1,193 in 5+ unit buildings).
Middlesex County population projected at +15% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $165k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1935 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
CashFlowRE · CFR-6HNJER0TRA4JEY
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29