3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,764 sqft ·
Built 2021
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 63 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,018/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,463
Tax + insurance
−$347
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$424
Net cashflow
$-216/mo
Annual
$-2,594/yr
Cap rate
5.36%
Cash-on-cash
-3.32%
DSCR
0.85
1% rule
0.72%
Cash to close
$78,120
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $279k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-216 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $241k (13.7% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $202k (27.7% below list).
It's been on market 63 days — a 6% lower offer ($262k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $202k (27.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 68/100 on livability (#129 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: crime C-, amenities F, commute F.
Calhoun City (town): math 44% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #39 of 174 in GA (top 22%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Calhoun Primary School (879 students, 66% FRL); Calhoun Middle School (math 47% / reading 48%, grade C-, #84 of 470 statewide, top 19%, 623 students, 58% FRL); Calhoun High School (math 21% / reading 43%, grade F, #110 of 424 statewide, top 28%, 1,274 students, 55% FRL).
Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.5%/yr); 404 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 414 units permitted in Gordon County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.4% vs local median 4.1% in Calhoun — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($64k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 63 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 28% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-6J02V6F612N51N
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29