3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
948 sqft ·
Built 1954
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 27 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$913/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$467
Tax + insurance
−$148
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$192
Net cashflow
$107/mo
Annual
$1,279/yr
Cap rate
7.73%
Cash-on-cash
5.13%
DSCR
1.23
1% rule
1.03%
Cash to close
$24,920
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $89k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $107 ($1k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($913 rent vs $89k).
It's been on market 27 days — a 2% lower offer ($88k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $88k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $615 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 66/100 on livability (#107 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
Opp City (town): math 26% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #37 of 129 in AL (top 29%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Opp Elementary School (math 52% / reading 72%, grade B, #53 of 627 statewide, top 9%, 531 students, 65% FRL); Opp Middle School (math 16% / reading 48%, grade F, #110 of 257 statewide, top 44%, 405 students, 69% FRL); Opp High School (math 22% / reading 17%, grade F, #169 of 305 statewide, top 59%, 393 students, 62% FRL) — zoned schools average 65% FRL vs 48% district-wide (17 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: built in 1954 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 63 active listings in the ZIP; 13 units permitted in Covington County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Covington County population projected to shrink 10% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Current owner paid $70k; 27% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 7.7% vs local median 4.0% in Opp — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1954 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-6J9SNMF1AX9PKF
· Data 2 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29