3 bd · 1.5 ba ·
3,404 sqft ·
Built 1998
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 158 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,375/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$818
Tax + insurance
−$260
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$289
Net cashflow
$9/mo
Annual
$107/yr
Cap rate
6.36%
Cash-on-cash
0.24%
DSCR
1.01
1% rule
0.88%
Cash to close
$43,652
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $156k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $9 ($107/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $138k (11.8% below list).
It's been on market 158 days — a 12% lower offer ($137k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $137k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $9k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $8k appreciation (5.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 60/100 on livability (#715 in WI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing B+; Watch: crime C-, health & safety D, amenities F.
Drummond Area School District (rural): math 45% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #186 of 426 in WI (top 44%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Drummond Elementary (math 52% / reading 47%, grade D, #257 of 1,041 statewide, top 30%, 181 students, 57% FRL); Drummond Junior High (math 24% / reading 34%, grade F, #261 of 383 statewide, top 73%, 48 students, 33% FRL); Drummond High (math 24% / reading 24%, grade F, #287 of 483 statewide, top 71%, 109 students, 44% FRL) — zoned schools at 45% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: 6 active listings in the ZIP; 106 units permitted in Bayfield County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Bayfield County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (5.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $44k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 158 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: Roof
— Significant ice damming and potential water damage.
Major: Exterior siding
— Severe weathering and staining, requiring replacement or repainting.
Major: Landscaping
— Minimal and covered in snow, indicating lack of maintenance.
CashFlowRE · CFR-6K11ABAGX91E32
· Data 6 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29