2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
766 sqft ·
Built 1950
· Condo
· Active
· 65 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,389/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,045
Tax + insurance
−$650
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$712
Net cashflow
$-17/mo
Annual
$-208/yr
Cap rate
6.24%
Cash-on-cash
-0.19%
DSCR
0.99
1% rule
0.87%
Cash to close
$109,172
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $390k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-17 ($-208/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $387k (0.6% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $339k (13.1% below list).
It's been on market 65 days — a 6% lower offer ($367k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $339k (13.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 84 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 5,302 units permitted in Queens County in 2024 (4,918 in 5+ unit buildings).
Queens County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 65 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 13% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Minor: exterior paint
— Some discoloration
Minor: interior paint
— Some wear
Minor: kitchen cabinets
— Some wear
CashFlowRE · CFR-6K9891FVWP2Q8G
· Data 1 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29