3 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,802 sqft ·
Built 1905
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 76 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,255/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$891
Tax + insurance
−$135
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$264
Net cashflow
$-35/mo
Annual
$-416/yr
Cap rate
6.05%
Cash-on-cash
-0.87%
DSCR
0.96
1% rule
0.74%
Cash to close
$47,600
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $170k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-35 ($-416/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $164k (3.6% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $126k (26.2% below list).
It's been on market 76 days — a 6% lower offer ($160k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $126k (26.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 69/100 on livability (#74 in WV) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A-; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
Ohio County Schools (urban): math 34% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #5 of 55 in WV (top 9%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Elm Grove Elementary School (math 42% / reading 42%, grade F, #87 of 377 statewide, top 28%, 330 students, 0% FRL); Bridge Street Middle School (math 19% / reading 47%, grade F, #42 of 109 statewide, top 38%, 278 students, 0% FRL); Wheeling Park High School (math 27% / reading 57%, grade F, #14 of 110 statewide, top 16%, 1,490 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 44% district-wide (44 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Watch-outs: built in 1905 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.0%/yr); 228 active listings in the ZIP; 2 units permitted in Ohio County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Ohio County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
3 sale attempts since 24y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $9k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $70k; list at $170k implies a 141% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Cap rate 6.0% vs local median 4.3% in Wheeling — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 76 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 26% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1905 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
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