4 bd · 3.0 ba ·
1,761 sqft ·
Built —
· SingleFamily
· Pending
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,305/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$918
Tax + insurance
−$198
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$274
Net cashflow
$-85/mo
Annual
$-1,019/yr
Cap rate
5.71%
Cash-on-cash
-2.08%
DSCR
0.91
1% rule
0.75%
Cash to close
$49,000
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $175k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-85 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $160k (8.6% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $130k (25.5% below list).
Only 0 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $130k (25.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $3k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $2k appreciation (1.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 70/100 on livability (#55 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
Allen Parish (rural): math 26% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #36 of 98 in LA (top 37%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Oakdale Elementary School (math 17% / reading 17%, grade F, #487 of 646 statewide, top 78%, 562 students, 73% FRL); Oakdale Middle School (math 11% / reading 32%, grade F, #158 of 218 statewide, top 73%, 322 students, 74% FRL); Oakdale High School (math 32% / reading 42%, grade F, #98 of 265 statewide, top 38%, 322 students, 61% FRL).
Market conditions: 24 active listings in the ZIP; 46 units permitted in Allen Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Allen County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
5 sale attempts since 22y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-6KQ2Z2BM2QQ7R4
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29