3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,203 sqft ·
Built 1998
· MultiFamily
· Pending
· 17 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,525/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,620
Tax + insurance
−$315
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$530
Net cashflow
$59/mo
Annual
$713/yr
Cap rate
6.52%
Cash-on-cash
0.82%
DSCR
1.04
1% rule
0.82%
Cash to close
$86,520
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath multifamily listed at $309k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $59 ($713/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $252k (18.3% below list).
It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($304k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $252k (18.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 85/100 on livability (#1 in ND, #605 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F.
Fargo 1 (urban): math 41% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #28 of 53 in ND (top 53%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Centennial Elementary School (math 42% / reading 38%, grade F, #132 of 236 statewide, top 57%, 562 students, 26% FRL); Discovery Middle School (math 49% / reading 55%, grade C+, #3 of 35 statewide, top 12%, 975 students, 26% FRL); Fargo Davies High School (math 34% / reading 45%, grade F, #57 of 144 statewide, top 48%, 1,363 students, 19% FRL) — zoned schools at 24% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.1%/yr); 369 active listings in the ZIP; 35 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,218 units permitted in Cass County in 2024 (410 in 5+ unit buildings).
Cass County population projected at +69% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
4 sale attempts since 12y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $255k; 21% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 2.5% in Fargo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($86k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
CashFlowRE · CFR-6KXD0VDZS2E270
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29