12 bd · 4.0 ba ·
6,300 sqft ·
Built 1970
· MultiFamily
· Pending
· 10 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$6,449/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,652
Tax + insurance
−$500
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,354
Net cashflow
$2,943/mo
Annual
$35,310/yr
Cap rate
17.50%
Cash-on-cash
40.03%
DSCR
2.78
1% rule
2.05%
Cash to close
$88,200
Investor read
This is a 12-bed/4.0-bath multifamily listed at $315k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $3k ($35k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($6k rent vs $315k).
Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 70/100 on livability (#438 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: amenities D, crime F, commute F.
Union-Endicott Central School District (suburban): math 43% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #387 of 590 in NY (top 66%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Charles F Johnson Jr Elementary School (math 17% / reading 27%, grade F, #1,923 of 2,108 statewide, top 92%, 387 students, 66% FRL) — zoned schools average 66% FRL vs 42% district-wide (25 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 22% at this address vs 50% district-wide (-28 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Union-Endicott Central School District average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.1%/yr); 213 active listings in the ZIP; 340 units permitted in Broome County in 2024 (269 in 5+ unit buildings).
Broome County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
3 sale attempts since 27y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $78k; list at $315k implies a 306% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.1% rent growth), your $88k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 17.5% vs local median 5.5% in Endicott — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $6,449/mo this rent would consume 117% of the median local household income ($66k/yr) (locally 1480% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
CashFlowRE · CFR-6MBNVFFH3A7Y84
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29