4 bd · 2.5 ba ·
1,884 sqft ·
Built —
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 77 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,262/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$315
Tax + insurance
−$100
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$265
Net cashflow
$583/mo
Annual
$6,993/yr
Cap rate
17.95%
Cash-on-cash
41.62%
DSCR
2.85
1% rule
2.10%
Cash to close
$16,800
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $60k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $583 ($7k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $60k).
It's been on market 77 days — a 6% lower offer ($56k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $56k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $2k of equity ($415 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 52/100 on livability (#405 in LA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety D, schools F, crime F.
Caldwell Parish (rural): math 17% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #59 of 98 in LA (top 60%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Market conditions: 2 active listings in the ZIP; 9 units permitted in Caldwell Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Caldwell County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 77 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: exterior walls
— The exterior walls appear to be in poor condition, with visible wear and tear.
Major: flooring
— The flooring in the interior appears to be in poor condition, with visible wear and tear.
Major: bathrooms
— The bathrooms appear to be in poor condition, with visible wear and tear.
CashFlowRE · CFR-6MF1XMDM1TKWPB
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29