3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,444 sqft ·
Built 1930
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 18 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,186/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,180
Tax + insurance
−$135
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$459
Net cashflow
$411/mo
Annual
$4,935/yr
Cap rate
8.49%
Cash-on-cash
7.83%
DSCR
1.35
1% rule
0.97%
Cash to close
$63,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $225k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $411 ($5k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $219k (2.9% below list).
It's been on market 18 days — a 2% lower offer ($222k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $219k (2.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $5k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $3k appreciation (1.4% local appreciation)).
Location reads 61/100 on livability (#547 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, crime B; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
Westwood Unified (rural): math 30% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #995 of 1,400 in CA (top 71%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 240 active listings in the ZIP; 6 units permitted in Lassen County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Lassen County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
8 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $50k; list at $225k implies a 350% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (1.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $63k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-6MPYZH7020K5PJ
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29