6 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,020 sqft ·
Built 1900
· Manufactured
· Active
· 56 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,087/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$729
Tax + insurance
−$232
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$228
Net cashflow
$-102/mo
Annual
$-1,221/yr
Cap rate
5.41%
Cash-on-cash
-3.14%
DSCR
0.86
1% rule
0.78%
Cash to close
$38,920
Investor read
This is a 6-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $139k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-102 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $124k (10.6% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $109k (21.8% below list).
It's been on market 56 days — a 3% lower offer ($135k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $109k (21.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $3k of equity ($961 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (1.5% local appreciation)).
Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
North Central Area Schools (rural): math 40% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #202 of 760 in MI (top 27%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 6 active listings in the ZIP; 26 units permitted in Menominee County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Menominee County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $60k; list at $139k implies a 132% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 56 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 22% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-6NA70PDW991F22
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29