2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
816 sqft ·
Built 1950
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 55 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$853/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$524
Tax + insurance
−$134
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$179
Net cashflow
$15/mo
Annual
$185/yr
Cap rate
7.28%
Cash-on-cash
3.51%
DSCR
1.16
1% rule
0.85%
Cash to close
$28,000
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $15 ($185/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $85k (14.7% below list).
It's been on market 55 days — a 3% lower offer ($97k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $85k (14.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $983 of equity ($691 loan paydown + $292 appreciation (0.3% local appreciation)).
Location reads 72/100 on livability (#206 in VA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
Smyth County Public School District (rural): math 46% / reading 63% proficiency, ranked #89 of 131 in VA (top 68%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Saltville Elementary (math 52% / reading 62%, grade C+, #597 of 1,108 statewide, top 57%, 195 students, 102% FRL); Northwood Middle (math 42% / reading 67%, grade B-, #194 of 342 statewide, top 60%, 151 students, 86% FRL); Northwood High (math 62% / reading 77%, grade B, #159 of 319 statewide, top 53%, 240 students, 87% FRL) — zoned schools average 91% FRL vs 54% district-wide (38 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 32 active listings in the ZIP; 38 units permitted in Smyth County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Smyth County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $80k; 26% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 55 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 15% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-6NEHR0193JJAWE
· Data 17 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29