3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
2,160 sqft ·
Built 1900
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 38 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,028/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$781
Tax + insurance
−$177
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$216
Net cashflow
$-146/mo
Annual
$-1,750/yr
Cap rate
5.12%
Cash-on-cash
-4.20%
DSCR
0.81
1% rule
0.69%
Cash to close
$41,720
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $149k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-146 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $123k (17.3% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $103k (31.0% below list).
It's been on market 38 days — a 3% lower offer ($145k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $103k (31.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 62/100 on livability (#891 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, schools D-, amenities F.
Parkway Local (rural): math 76% / reading 76% proficiency, ranked #96 of 656 in OH (top 15%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 11 active listings in the ZIP; 92 units permitted in Mercer County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Mercer County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Current owner paid $22k; list at $149k implies a 593% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
This rent is only 17% of the median local income ($72k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 38 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 31% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-6NGNARFBSGVAQM
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29