3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,491 sqft ·
Built 1970
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 38 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,198/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$774
Tax + insurance
−$131
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$252
Net cashflow
$42/mo
Annual
$500/yr
Cap rate
6.63%
Cash-on-cash
1.21%
DSCR
1.05
1% rule
0.81%
Cash to close
$41,300
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $148k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $42 ($500/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $120k (18.8% below list).
It's been on market 38 days — a 3% lower offer ($143k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $120k (18.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 65/100 on livability (#151 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
Altus (town): math 31% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #69 of 270 in OK (top 26%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Altus Early Childhood Center (390 students, 0% FRL); Altus Jhs (math 30% / reading 27%, grade F, #57 of 345 statewide, top 18%, 491 students, 0% FRL); Altus Hs (math 21% / reading 26%, grade F, #218 of 447 statewide, top 49%, 921 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 55% district-wide (55 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Market conditions: 168 active listings in the ZIP; 8 units permitted in Jackson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Jackson County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
4 sale attempts since 12y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $77k; list at $148k implies a 92% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.6% vs local median 3.7% in Altus — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 38 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 19% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-6NNXA8D9VA8RNR
· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29