16400 Upton Rd

Bath, MI 48823

$16,500D+

3 bd · 2.0 ba · — sqft · Built — · MultiFamily · Active · 37 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $1,447/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$87
• Tax + insurance: −$28
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$304
• Net cashflow: $1,029/mo
• Annual: $12,345/yr
• Cap rate: 81.11%
• Cash-on-cash: 267.22%
• DSCR: 12.89
• 1% rule: 8.77%
• Cash to close: $4,620

Investor read

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath multifamily listed at $16k.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($12k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $16k).
• It's been on market 37 days — a 3% lower offer ($16k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $16k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $114 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $495 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Location reads 69/100 on livability (#335 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
• Haslett Public Schools (suburban): math 55% / reading 63% proficiency, ranked #44 of 540 in MI (top 8%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 19% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
• Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.4%/yr); 170 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 154 units permitted in Clinton County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
• 4 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.4% rent growth), your $5k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
• Cap rate 81.1% vs local median 2.0% in Bath — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
• This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($52k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Questions for listing agent

• It's been on market 37 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
• The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
• How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.