3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,922 sqft ·
Built 1970
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 147 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,219/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$608
Tax + insurance
−$114
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$256
Net cashflow
$240/mo
Annual
$2,883/yr
Cap rate
8.78%
Cash-on-cash
8.88%
DSCR
1.39
1% rule
1.05%
Cash to close
$32,480
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $116k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $240 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $116k).
It's been on market 147 days — a 12% lower offer ($102k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $102k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $8k of equity ($802 loan paydown + $7k appreciation (6.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 63/100 on livability (#323 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
Barren County (rural): math 31% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #52 of 165 in KY (top 32%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Park City Elementary School (math 27% / reading 37%, grade F, #348 of 676 statewide, top 55%, 382 students, 70% FRL); Barren County Middle School (math 25% / reading 42%, grade F, #105 of 217 statewide, top 51%, 652 students, 53% FRL); Barren County High School (math 27% / reading 41%, grade F, #89 of 254 statewide, top 36%, 1,389 students, 50% FRL).
Market conditions: 12 active listings in the ZIP; 283 units permitted in Barren County in 2024 (64 in 5+ unit buildings).
Barren County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask is 13% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Current owner paid $43k; list at $116k implies a 169% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (6.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 147 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-6P1Y4E6FTGZ8NT
· Data 4 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29