2 bd · 2.5 ba ·
1,054 sqft ·
Built 1975
· Condo
· Active
· 39 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,401/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$808
Tax + insurance
−$153
HOA
−$256
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$294
Net cashflow
$-109/mo
Annual
$-1,311/yr
Cap rate
5.44%
Cash-on-cash
-3.04%
DSCR
0.86
1% rule
0.91%
Cash to close
$43,120
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.5-bath condo listed at $154k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-109 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $135k (12.5% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $140k (9.0% below list).
It's been on market 39 days — a 3% lower offer ($149k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $135k (12.5% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 81/100 on livability (#12 in NC, #1,335 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment D, crime F.
Guilford County Schools (urban): math 39% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #99 of 178 in NC (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Florence Elementary (math 59% / reading 51%, grade C, #299 of 1,410 statewide, top 21%, 633 students, 55% FRL); Southwest Guilford Middle (math 35% / reading 51%, grade D-, #191 of 475 statewide, top 41%, 1,101 students, 55% FRL); Southwest Guilford High (math 52% / reading 59%, grade C, #265 of 535 statewide, top 50%, 1,662 students, 51% FRL) — zoned schools at 54% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.2%/yr); 77 active listings in the ZIP; 25 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 3,843 units permitted in Guilford County in 2024 (2,397 in 5+ unit buildings).
Guilford County population projected at +26% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Current owner paid $30k; list at $154k implies a 413% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.4% vs local median 3.7% in Greensboro — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 39 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 13% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
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· Data 7 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29