1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
647 sqft ·
Built 1920
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 182 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$787/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$41
Tax + insurance
−$16
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$165
Net cashflow
$565/mo
Annual
$6,776/yr
Cap rate
92.06%
Cash-on-cash
306.31%
DSCR
14.63
1% rule
9.97%
Cash to close
$2,212
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $8k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $565 ($7k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($787 rent vs $8k).
It's been on market 182 days — a 12% lower offer ($7k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $7k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $845 of equity ($55 loan paydown + $790 appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 62/100 on livability (#370 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
El Dorado Springs R-II (town): math 25% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #279 of 324 in MO (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: El Dorado Springs Elem. (math 26% / reading 34%, grade F, #808 of 1,115 statewide, top 73%, 580 students, 100% FRL); El Dorado Springs Middle (math 28% / reading 31%, grade F, #291 of 391 statewide, top 76%, 244 students, 51% FRL); El Dorado Springs High (math 12% / reading 47%, grade F, #382 of 521 statewide, top 78%, 348 students, 40% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 84 active listings in the ZIP; 4 units permitted in Cedar County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Cedar County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $8k (50%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $2k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 92.1% vs local median 4.9% in El Dorado Springs — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 182 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-6PGHEY63BWB6BJ
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29