3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
696 sqft ·
Built 1883
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 43 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$878/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$473
Tax + insurance
−$150
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$184
Net cashflow
$70/mo
Annual
$843/yr
Cap rate
7.23%
Cash-on-cash
3.34%
DSCR
1.15
1% rule
0.97%
Cash to close
$25,243
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $8k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $70 ($843/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($878 rent vs $8k).
It's been on market 43 days — a 3% lower offer ($8k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $8k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $624 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 55/100 on livability (#749 in MO) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-; Watch: employment D, schools F, crime F.
Maries County R-II (rural): math 29% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #242 of 324 in MO (top 75%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: property tax is 16.9% of price; built in 1883 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 23 active listings in the ZIP; 5 units permitted in Gasconade County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).
Gasconade County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 43 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1883 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-6PJ5053EB7W9NE
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29