4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,627 sqft ·
Built 1962
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 32 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,470/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$918
Tax + insurance
−$374
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$309
Net cashflow
$-131/mo
Annual
$-1,568/yr
Cap rate
5.40%
Cash-on-cash
-3.20%
DSCR
0.86
1% rule
0.84%
Cash to close
$49,000
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $175k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-131 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $152k (13.2% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $147k (16.0% below list).
It's been on market 32 days — a 3% lower offer ($170k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $147k (16.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 66/100 on livability (#624 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities C-, crime F, commute F.
Amarillo ISD (urban): math 44% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #336 of 826 in TX (top 41%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Hamlet El (math 12% / reading 12%, grade F, #4,207 of 4,322 statewide, top 98%, 295 students, 91% FRL); Mann Middle (math 36% / reading 29%, grade F, #947 of 1,662 statewide, top 58%, 458 students, 92% FRL); Palo Duro H S (math 39% / reading 33%, grade F, #930 of 1,632 statewide, top 57%, 1,923 students, 84% FRL) — zoned schools average 89% FRL vs 58% district-wide (31 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 27% at this address vs 42% district-wide (-16 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Amarillo ISD average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Market conditions: 120 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,214 units permitted in Potter County in 2024 (650 in 5+ unit buildings).
3 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
This rent runs 43% of the median local income ($41k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 32 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 16% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1962 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-6PQYXR7X53T3Q6
· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29