3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,255 sqft ·
Built 1853
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 57 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,812/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,153
Tax + insurance
−$207
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$380
Net cashflow
$71/mo
Annual
$856/yr
Cap rate
6.68%
Cash-on-cash
1.39%
DSCR
1.06
1% rule
0.82%
Cash to close
$61,572
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $220k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $71 ($856/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $181k (17.6% below list).
It's been on market 57 days — a 3% lower offer ($213k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $181k (17.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 65/100 on livability (#698 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
Wayne Local (suburban): math 77% / reading 76% proficiency, ranked #72 of 656 in OH (top 11%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 16% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Waynesville Elementary School (math 78% / reading 70%, grade A, #301 of 1,584 statewide, top 20%, 906 students, 9% FRL); Waynesville Middle School (math 80% / reading 82%, grade A+, #38 of 654 statewide, top 6%, 246 students, 0% FRL); Waynesville High School (math 67% / reading 77%, grade B+, #89 of 781 statewide, top 12%, 465 students, 17% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1853 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 119 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 1,224 units permitted in Warren County in 2024 (474 in 5+ unit buildings).
Warren County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
8 sale attempts since 17y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $115k; list at $220k implies a 91% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 57 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 18% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1853 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
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· Data 9 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29