4 bd · 3.0 ba ·
2,064 sqft ·
Built 2004
· Townhouse
· Active
· 41 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,290/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,568
Tax + insurance
−$309
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$481
Net cashflow
$-68/mo
Annual
$-811/yr
Cap rate
6.02%
Cash-on-cash
-0.97%
DSCR
0.96
1% rule
0.77%
Cash to close
$83,720
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath townhouse listed at $299k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-68 ($-811/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $287k (4.0% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $229k (23.4% below list).
It's been on market 41 days — a 3% lower offer ($290k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $229k (23.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 78/100 on livability (#18 in SC, #2,436 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment D, crime F.
Richland 02 (suburban): math 35% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #29 of 80 in SC (top 36%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Lake Carolina Elementary Lower Campus (494 students, 49% FRL); Blythewood High (math 72% / reading 92%, grade A, #19 of 196 statewide, top 10%, 2,094 students, 39% FRL).
Zoned-school proficiency averages 82% at this address vs 41% district-wide (+41 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Richland 02 average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.8%/yr); 406 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 3,472 units permitted in Richland County in 2024 (1,096 in 5+ unit buildings).
Richland County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
5 sale attempts since 5y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $314.60M (100%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $230k; 30% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 65% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($74k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 41 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 23% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-6Q8V764NKJZ3VC
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29