3 bd · 2.5 ba ·
1,551 sqft ·
Built 2005
· Townhouse
· Active
· 118 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,155/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,489
Tax + insurance
−$169
HOA
−$176
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$453
Net cashflow
$-132/mo
Annual
$-1,583/yr
Cap rate
5.74%
Cash-on-cash
-1.99%
DSCR
0.91
1% rule
0.76%
Cash to close
$79,520
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $284k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-132 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $261k (8.2% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $216k (24.1% below list).
It's been on market 118 days — a 9% lower offer ($258k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $216k (24.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 72/100 on livability (#68 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, cost of living A; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
Cherokee County (suburban): math 46% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #17 of 174 in GA (top 10%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Oak Grove Elementary School (math 37% / reading 37%, grade F, #485 of 1,228 statewide, top 41%, 515 students, 64% FRL); E. T. Booth Middle School (math 41% / reading 50%, grade D+, #97 of 470 statewide, top 22%, 1,654 students, 33% FRL); Etowah High School (math 14% / reading 36%, grade F, #181 of 424 statewide, top 43%, 2,441 students, 28% FRL) — zoned schools average 42% FRL vs 26% district-wide (16 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.7%/yr); 329 active listings in the ZIP; 21 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,665 units permitted in Cherokee County in 2024 (852 in 5+ unit buildings).
Cherokee County population projected at +34% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.7% vs local median 3.8% in Acworth — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 118 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 24% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-6Q93BM1XX0W7MJ
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29