3 bd · 2.5 ba ·
1,659 sqft ·
Built 2026
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 10 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,492/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,830
Tax + insurance
−$582
HOA
−$95
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$523
Net cashflow
$-538/mo
Annual
$-6,458/yr
Cap rate
4.44%
Cash-on-cash
-6.61%
DSCR
0.71
1% rule
0.71%
Cash to close
$97,720
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $349k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-538 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $271k (22.3% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $249k (28.6% below list).
Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $249k (28.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 79/100 on livability (#7 in AL, #2,110 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: commute F.
Trussville City (suburban): math 49% / reading 74% proficiency, ranked #5 of 129 in AL (top 4%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 7% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Paine Elementary School (math 68% / reading 82%, grade A, #14 of 627 statewide, top 2%, 1,350 students, 16% FRL); Hewitttrussville Middle School (math 33% / reading 75%, grade B-, #20 of 257 statewide, top 8%, 1,202 students, 16% FRL); Hewitttrussville High School (math 50% / reading 50%, grade D+, #15 of 305 statewide, top 5%, 1,573 students, 15% FRL).
Market conditions: 405 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 65d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 90% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 2,114 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (556 in 5+ unit buildings).
Jefferson County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 4.4% vs local median 3.2% in Trussville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-6QCNTCCGSNZ038
· Data 13 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29