2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,111 sqft ·
Built 2022
· Condo
· Active
· 25 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,656/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,127
Tax + insurance
−$273
HOA
−$175
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$348
Net cashflow
$-267/mo
Annual
$-3,205/yr
Cap rate
4.80%
Cash-on-cash
-5.32%
DSCR
0.76
1% rule
0.77%
Cash to close
$60,200
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $215k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-267 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $168k (21.9% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $166k (23.0% below list).
It's been on market 25 days — a 2% lower offer ($212k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $166k (23.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 80/100 on livability (#74 in KY, #1,973 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: commute F.
Kenton County (suburban): math 42% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #14 of 165 in KY (top 8%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: River Ridge Elementary School (math 49% / reading 46%, grade D, #117 of 676 statewide, top 17%, 931 students, 61% FRL); Turkey Foot Middle School (math 38% / reading 51%, grade D, #36 of 217 statewide, top 18%, 1,029 students, 47% FRL); Dixie Heights High School (math 39% / reading 44%, grade F, #36 of 254 statewide, top 14%, 1,561 students, 39% FRL) — zoned schools average 49% FRL vs 33% district-wide (16 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: 328 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 6d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 699 units permitted in Kenton County in 2024 (287 in 5+ unit buildings).
Kenton County population projected at +5% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
6 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Cap rate 4.8% vs local median 1.9% in Crescent Springs — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-6QG6K5BDN6FPV9
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29