142 Tyler Ln

Mount Zion, GA 30117

$199,900C-

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,740 sqft · Built 1991 · SingleFamily · Active · 215 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $1,874/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,048
• Tax + insurance: −$266
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$394
• Net cashflow: $166/mo
• Annual: $1,990/yr
• Cap rate: 7.29%
• Cash-on-cash: 3.56%
• DSCR: 1.16
• 1% rule: 0.94%
• Cash to close: $55,972

Investor read

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $200k.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $166 ($2k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $187k (6.2% below list).
• It's been on market 215 days — a 12% lower offer ($176k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $176k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Location reads 59/100 on livability (#402 in GA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
• Carroll County (rural): math 42% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #38 of 174 in GA (top 22%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Zoned schools: Mount Zion Elementary School (math 49% / reading 38%, grade F, #364 of 1,228 statewide, top 30%, 695 students, 74% FRL); Mt. Zion Middle School (math 24% / reading 40%, grade F, #229 of 470 statewide, top 49%, 336 students, 70% FRL); Mt. Zion High School (math 37% / reading 24%, grade F, #128 of 424 statewide, top 30%, 470 students, 63% FRL).
• Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.7%/yr); 262 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 876 units permitted in Carroll County in 2024 (150 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Carroll County population projected at +12% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
• 9 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
• Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 25% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
• Cap rate 7.3% vs local median 3.5% in Mount Zion — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
• This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($62k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Questions for listing agent

• It's been on market 215 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
• Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
• How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.