2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,181 sqft ·
Built 1964
· Condo
· Active
· 99 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$4,126/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,967
Tax + insurance
−$662
HOA
−$1,142
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$866
Net cashflow
$-511/mo
Annual
$-6,135/yr
Cap rate
6.02%
Cash-on-cash
-0.97%
DSCR
0.96
1% rule
1.10%
Cash to close
$105,000
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $375k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-511 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $285k (24.1% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $375k).
It's been on market 99 days — a 9% lower offer ($341k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $285k (24.1% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $11k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 80/100 on livability (#108 in FL, #1,672 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: housing C-, amenities D-, cost of living F.
Miami-Dade (suburban): math 45% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #40 of 73 in FL (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Biscayne Beach Elementary School (math 42% / reading 49%, grade D-, #1,247 of 2,144 statewide, top 59%, 578 students, 63% FRL); Miami Beach Nautilus Middle School (math 46% / reading 58%, grade C+, #217 of 571 statewide, top 40%, 918 students, 44% FRL); North Miami Beach Senior High (math 13% / reading 24%, grade F, #568 of 667 statewide, top 85%, 1,149 students, 66% FRL).
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo; HOA is 28% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents flat; 644 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 10,051 units permitted in Miami-Dade County in 2024 (7,758 in 5+ unit buildings).
Miami-Dade County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Current owner paid $68k; list at $375k implies a 448% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→28/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.0% vs local median 1.5% in Miami Beach — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $4,126/mo this rent would consume 72% of the median local household income ($69k/yr) (locally 3521% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 99 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 24% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1964 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
CashFlowRE · CFR-6RCPEQ85ZBSNT4
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29