4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,404 sqft ·
Built 1961
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 86 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,546/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$865
Tax + insurance
−$275
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$325
Net cashflow
$82/mo
Annual
$982/yr
Cap rate
6.89%
Cash-on-cash
2.13%
DSCR
1.09
1% rule
0.94%
Cash to close
$46,172
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $165k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $82 ($982/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $155k (6.2% below list).
It's been on market 86 days — a 6% lower offer ($155k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $155k (6.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 71/100 on livability (#436 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
Huber Heights City (suburban): math 29% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #544 of 656 in OH (top 83%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: Rents flat; 194 active listings in the ZIP; 32 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 41% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 907 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (416 in 5+ unit buildings).
Montgomery County population projected at -10% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Cap rate 6.9% vs local median 3.5% in Huber Heights — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 86 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1961 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Minor: Exterior paint
— Some wear on exterior
Minor: Carpet
— Some wear on carpet
CashFlowRE · CFR-6RPT7ZCM4Q67HS
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29