3589 S Ocean Blvd #404

South Palm Beach, FL 33480

$407,000D+

2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,498 sqft · Built 1974 · Condo · Active · 20 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $4,979/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$2,134
• Tax + insurance: −$751
• HOA: −$1,728
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$1,046
• Net cashflow: $-680/mo
• Annual: $-8,159/yr
• Cap rate: 5.55%
• Cash-on-cash: -2.67%
• DSCR: 0.88
• 1% rule: 1.22%
• Cash to close: $113,960

Investor read

• This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $407k.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-680 ($-8k/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $287k (29.5% below list).
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $407k).
• It's been on market 20 days — a 2% lower offer ($401k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $287k (29.5% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
• In year one you build about $24k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $21k appreciation (5.1% local appreciation)).
• Location reads 72/100 on livability (#340 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
• Palm Beach (suburban): math 46% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #34 of 73 in FL (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Zoned schools: Lantana Elementary School (math 30% / reading 33%, grade F, #1,841 of 2,144 statewide, top 86%, 484 students, 79% FRL); Lantana Middle School (math 21% / reading 36%, grade F, #482 of 571 statewide, top 85%, 801 students, 78% FRL); Lake Worth High School (math 16% / reading 27%, grade F, #546 of 667 statewide, top 82%, 2,683 students, 71% FRL) — zoned schools average 76% FRL vs 52% district-wide (24 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
• Zoned-school proficiency averages 27% at this address vs 50% district-wide (-22 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Palm Beach average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
• Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo; HOA is 35% of rent.
• Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.9%/yr); 447 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 3,974 units permitted in Palm Beach County in 2024 (1,012 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Palm Beach County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• 6 sale attempts since 27y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
• Current owner paid $295k; 38% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
• By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$38k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
• Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→27/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Questions for listing agent

• What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
• Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
• What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
• What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
• Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.