3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,210 sqft ·
Built 1962
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 70 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,093/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$734
Tax + insurance
−$160
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$230
Net cashflow
$-31/mo
Annual
$-374/yr
Cap rate
6.03%
Cash-on-cash
-0.95%
DSCR
0.96
1% rule
0.78%
Cash to close
$39,200
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $140k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-31 ($-374/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $135k (3.9% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $109k (21.9% below list).
It's been on market 70 days — a 6% lower offer ($132k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $109k (21.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $968 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 70/100 on livability (#420 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
Taylor (rural): math 44% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #59 of 73 in FL (top 81%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Taylor County Primary School (646 students, 70% FRL); Taylor County Middle School (math 50% / reading 47%, grade C-, #274 of 571 statewide, top 50%, 627 students, 64% FRL); Taylor County High School (math 28% / reading 44%, grade F, #359 of 667 statewide, top 55%, 641 students, 61% FRL) — zoned schools at 65% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: 51 active listings in the ZIP; 48 units permitted in Taylor County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Taylor County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
10 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $72k; list at $140k implies a 96% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.0% vs local median 3.8% in Perry — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 70 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 22% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1962 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
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· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29