3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,278 sqft ·
Built 1952
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 291 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,478/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$681
Tax + insurance
−$203
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$310
Net cashflow
$283/mo
Annual
$3,392/yr
Cap rate
8.90%
Cash-on-cash
9.32%
DSCR
1.41
1% rule
1.14%
Cash to close
$36,372
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $130k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $283 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $130k).
It's been on market 291 days — a 12% lower offer ($114k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $114k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $898 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 67/100 on livability (#406 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety D, crime F, amenities F.
Westwood Community School District (suburban): math 6% / reading 11% proficiency, ranked #529 of 540 in MI (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 81% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Thorne Elementary School (math 2% / reading 8%, grade F, #1,325 of 1,397 statewide, top 99%, 599 students, 88% FRL); Tomlinson Middle School (math 5% / reading 24%, grade F, #453 of 493 statewide, top 93%, 174 students, 93% FRL); Robichaud Senior High School (math 8% / reading 12%, grade F, #692 of 713 statewide, top 98%, 323 students, 84% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1952 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.0%/yr); 147 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
7 sale attempts since 19y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (13%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $96k; 35% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
At $1,478/mo this rent would consume 45% of the median local household income ($39k/yr) (locally 1558% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 291 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1952 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-6T0FA22W7PPY10
· Data 17 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29