4 bd · 2.5 ba ·
3,000 sqft ·
Built 1915
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 16 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,811/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,363
Tax + insurance
−$158
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$380
Net cashflow
$-90/mo
Annual
$-1,085/yr
Cap rate
5.88%
Cash-on-cash
-1.49%
DSCR
0.93
1% rule
0.70%
Cash to close
$72,800
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $260k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-90 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $244k (6.1% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $181k (30.3% below list).
It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($256k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $181k (30.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $6k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $4k appreciation (1.6% local appreciation)).
Location reads 67/100 on livability (#103 in MT) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing B; Watch: health & safety C-, employment D, crime F.
Broadview H S (rural): math 25% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #89 of 116 in MT (top 77%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Broadview High School (math 24% / reading 24%, grade F, #80 of 132 statewide, top 80%, 56 students, 0% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1915 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 11 active listings in the ZIP; 1,401 units permitted in Yellowstone County in 2024 (281 in 5+ unit buildings).
Yellowstone County population projected at +26% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
3 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1915 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-6V4YP56AAGMFE4
· Data 9 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29